Market Brief — 2026-03-07

The Ethereum price market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above ,000 on March 7?' dropped 59pp in the last 24 hours to 0.24.

The market 'Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?' on Polymarket is at 0.004, while the Manifold market 'Will Manchester United win their next Premier League match?' is at 0.5434, a 53.9pp disagreement.

The Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat market on Polymarket is at 0.905, while the PredictIt market 'Which party will win the 2026 US House election in Pennsylvania's 10th District? — Republican' is at 0.245, a 66pp divergence.

• •Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? Closes in 6.3 days.
• •Will the price of Bitcoin be above 4,000 on March 7? Closes today.