Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential…
2026
Consensus Probability
2%
Weak5%
Polymarket6% avg · 9 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0% | $209K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1% | $188K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0% | $130K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 6% | $88K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 2% | $23K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 39% | $17K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0% | $7K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 2% | $6K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 5% | $5K | standalone |