Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

2026

Consensus Probability

12%

Weak5%

Polymarket20% avg · 25 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

Venue	Market	YES	Volume	Role
Polymarket	Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$164K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	100%	$16K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?	0%	$11K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$9K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$8K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$8K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	0%	$8K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?	99%	$8K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$8K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$7K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	7%	$6K	standalone
Polymarket	Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?	99%	$6K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$5K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$5K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$3K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	14%	$3K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Fátima Tardío win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?	83%	$2K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Juliette Chesnel-Leroux win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	0%	$2K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	79%	$2K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Horacio Poppe win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?	0%	$1K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$1K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Enrique Leaño win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?	7%	$1K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$1K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?	0%	$1K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Cristian Sanabria win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?	5%	$553	standalone

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