Will Reform Party (RP) win the 2026 South Korean local…
2026
Consensus Probability
77%
Weak16%
Polymarket20% avg · 5 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | 96% | $232K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | 4% | $50K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Reform Party (RP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | 0% | $7K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | 0% | $2K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | 0% | $1K | standalone |