Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
2026
Consensus Probability
3%
Weak5%
Polymarket20% avg · 4 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | 4% | $116K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | 1% | $28K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | 0% | $166 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | 76% | $97 | standalone |