ForecastMind

Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

2026

Consensus Probability

44%
Weak7%
Polymarket12% avg · 42 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?100%$141Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?0%$121Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?0%$48Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?100%$36Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$10Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$8Kstandalone
PolymarketWill César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?92%$7Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?0%$5Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election7%$5Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Óscar Sogliano win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?1%$5Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?2%$4Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?0%$3Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Alexandre Dupalais win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?0%$3Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election81%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jhonny Plata win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?2%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Rodrigo Rivera win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Iván Arias win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?3%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election13%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Anaïs Belouassa-Cherifi win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Georges Képénékian win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Cho Kyoung-tae win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?1%$818standalone
PolymarketWill Cho Kuk win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?1%$709standalone
PolymarketWill Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?35%$418standalone
PolymarketWill Lee Jae-sung win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?1%$92standalone
PolymarketWill Park Jae-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?1%$80standalone
PolymarketWill Suh Byung-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?0%$80standalone
PolymarketWill Choi In-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?1%$80standalone
PolymarketWill Park Seong-hoon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?0%$80standalone
PolymarketWill Hong Soon-heon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?0%$80standalone
PolymarketWill Kim Do-eup win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?0%$80standalone
PolymarketWill Kim Young-choon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?0%$80standalone
PolymarketWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?64%$73standalone