Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
March 2026
Consensus Probability
43%
Moderate47%
Polymarket33% avg · 3 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. Some spread between venues — treat as directional signal.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | 62% | $72K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026? | 13% | $34K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026? | 25% | $22K | standalone |