Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential…
2026
Consensus Probability
3%
Weak5%
Polymarket11% avg · 10 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1% | $495K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 9% | $191K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0% | $167K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0% | $150K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 6% | $41K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 4% | $39K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0% | $27K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 42% | $12K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 44% | $7K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1% | $5K | standalone |