Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

2026

Consensus Probability

23%

Weak5%

Polymarket11% avg · 26 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

Venue	Market	YES	Volume	Role
Polymarket	Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	4%	$622K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	79%	$286K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$74K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$39K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	0%	$21K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$19K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Lee Hak-jae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	1%	$11K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Chung Il-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	1%	$10K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	7%	$9K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$4K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$3K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$3K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$3K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$2K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$2K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Suh Byung-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	1%	$2K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$2K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	93%	$804	standalone
Polymarket	Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	0%	$500	standalone
Polymarket	Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	24%	$471	standalone
Polymarket	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	13%	$241	standalone
Polymarket	Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	0%	$228	standalone
Polymarket	Will Bae June-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	0%	$195	standalone
Polymarket	Will Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	0%	$167	standalone
Polymarket	Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	71%	$146	standalone
Polymarket	Will Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	1%	$116	standalone

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