ForecastMind

Will Democratic win the Presidency in 2028?

2028

Consensus Probability

1%
Weak15%
Polymarket2% avg · 60 markets
Kalshi57% avg · 1 market

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$3.7Mstandalone
PolymarketWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$3.1Mstandalone
PolymarketWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$2.6Mstandalone
PolymarketWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$1.5Mstandalone
PolymarketWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$1.1Mstandalone
PolymarketWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$1.1Mstandalone
PolymarketWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$1.0Mstandalone
PolymarketWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$885Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$635Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$586Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$556Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$488Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$461Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$447Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$407Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$359Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?4%$309Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$309Kstandalone
PolymarketWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?3%$281Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$269Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$263Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$255Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$211Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$195Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$180Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$164Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$153Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$152Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$148Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$142Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$140Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$133Kstandalone
PolymarketWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$128Kstandalone
PolymarketWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$125Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$118Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$110Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$107Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?24%$106Kstandalone
PolymarketWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$95Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$94Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$91Kstandalone
PolymarketWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$75Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$72Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$71Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$66Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$64Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2%$63Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$54Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2%$45Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2%$45Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2%$33Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?4%$29Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2%$27Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5%$21Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2%$19Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?8%$17Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?7%$16Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?4%$16Kstandalone
PolymarketWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2%$13Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$9Kstandalone
KalshiWill Democratic win the Presidency in 2028?57%$138Kstandalone
Will Democratic win the Presidency in 2028? — 1% Consensus | ForecastMind