Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

2026

Consensus Probability

12%

Weak7%

Polymarket3% avg · 29 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

Venue	Market	YES	Volume	Role
Polymarket	Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1%	$60K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	42%	$56K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1%	$30K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1%	$21K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	0%	$15K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	3%	$5K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	0%	$5K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	14%	$5K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1%	$4K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	0%	$2K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	0%	$2K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	5%	$1K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2%	$939	standalone
Polymarket	Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	0%	$757	standalone
Polymarket	Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	0%	$697	standalone
Polymarket	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1%	$633	standalone
Polymarket	Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	0%	$612	standalone
Polymarket	Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1%	$599	standalone
Polymarket	Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2%	$584	standalone
Polymarket	Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1%	$575	standalone
Polymarket	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	6%	$571	standalone
Polymarket	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	0%	$544	standalone
Polymarket	Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	4%	$527	standalone
Polymarket	Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	5%	$526	standalone
Polymarket	Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	8%	$472	standalone
Polymarket	Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	0%	$448	standalone
Polymarket	Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	0%	$362	standalone
Polymarket	Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	0%	$349	standalone
Polymarket	Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	0%	$244	standalone

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