Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
March 2026
Consensus Probability
8%
Weak5%
Polymarket25% avg · 4 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between March 20-23, 2026? | 0% | $55K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | 36% | $12K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026? | 21% | $5K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026? | 43% | $2K | standalone |