PolymarketKalshi
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
2 venues tracked
20
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Kalshi
Will Reform win the next U.K. election?
–
–
Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity20/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score20/100
Linked News
‘It makes me feel more British’: Muslims say religious diversity in the UK part of identity
The Guardian6h ago
‘We need to think much bigger’: trade minister calls for greater ambition in UK-EU reset
The Guardian9h ago
Reform UK suspends Scottish candidate less than a day after announcing him
The Guardian10h ago
Reform UK success in local elections could endanger national climate targets, report says – UK politics live
The Guardian15h ago
Canonical ID: 13071108-fbc7-4ca3-857b-9e16bb787c63
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.