PolymarketKalshiPredictIt
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 venues tracked-0.3pp in 24h
15
✦
AI Analysis
Get an AI-synthesized briefing combining venue probabilities, breaking news, and related market signals into a neutral analyst perspective.
Cross-Venue Intelligence
VenueYES %vs Poly
Kalshi
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3%
+1.3pp
PredictIt
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Yair Lapid
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Weighted Consensus3%±1.3pp
Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap3/30
Multi-venue12/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum1/15
Total Intel Score15/100
Related Events
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Latest News Impact
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Canonical ID: 18cfbea4-b9d1-4da6-89cf-0664d0606213
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.