PolymarketManifold
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
2 venues tracked
30
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Will the US attempt to seize or carry out a major strike on the oil infrastructure on Kharg Island before April 15, 2026
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap30/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score30/100
Canonical ID: 1d902c4b-948b-420e-aebd-c19a1601bdb9
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.