PolymarketManifold
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 venues tracked-0.5pp in 24h
27
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Will Bitcoin exceed $100,000 before December 31, 2026?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap6/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity20/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum1/15
Total Intel Score27/100
Linked News
From $13,700 to $148 million: Bitcoin whale moves 2,100 BTC untouched for over 13 years
The Block1d ago
Decentralized social network Bluesky discloses $100 million Series B amid leadership change
The Block1d ago
Crypto starts 2026 STRONG! Venezuela Impacts on the market! Lighter TGE reactions!
Decrypt74d ago
2026 Crypto Predictions! Tom Lee still buying ETH! Rekt tease WorldStar collab!
Decrypt81d ago
Canonical ID: 33daa508-87d4-4880-a5b6-e381355c0808
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.