Polymarket
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
1 venues tracked+1pp in 24h
2
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum2/15
Total Intel Score2/100
Canonical ID: 3cb0d7c5-e7bc-47e8-9071-47573eccded8
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.