PolymarketManifoldManifold
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 venues tracked-1pp in 24h
30
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
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Manifold
Will the Iranian regime fall by end of June?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap21/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity7/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum2/15
Total Intel Score30/100
Linked News
Canonical ID: 48ebede6-b763-4e40-97d6-8723b63143e9
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.