PolymarketManifold
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 venues tracked
20
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Will Iran actually participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity20/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score20/100
Linked News
Iran Believes It’s Winning—and Wants a Steep Price to End the War
Reddit Politics3h ago
Japan beat Australia to lift Women’s Asian Cup title
Al Jazeera5h ago
Iran says it will allow Japanese ships to transit the Strait of Hormuz
Al Jazeera9h ago
Japan 1-0 Australia: Women’s Asian Cup 2026 final – as it happened
Al Jazeera11h ago
Canonical ID: 589646bb-b904-4886-bb4d-39ccadc8b147
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.