PolymarketManifold
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2 venues tracked+1.8pp in 24h
18
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity14/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum4/15
Total Intel Score18/100
Linked News
Canonical ID: 644b62b9-0cd8-49e7-9a34-3f8f7525decd
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.