Polymarket
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1 venues tracked
6
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue6/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score6/100
Canonical ID: 74619e41-0e7b-4a18-afa8-6b5d5f57ba78
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.