PolymarketManifold
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
2 venues tracked
2
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Will the US strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap2/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score2/100
Canonical ID: 7b9a4fd8-2397-4416-b900-983b3dfad3f2
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.