PolymarketManifold
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2 venues tracked
0
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Will China invade Taiwan before 2028?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score0/100
Canonical ID: 8882c29d-3924-4e22-b427-85b5ce4b7a8f
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.