PolymarketManifold
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 venues tracked
37
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap17/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity20/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score37/100
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Canonical ID: 8cd2ee91-ca7b-42ce-a0d6-838f5d4d1983
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.