PolymarketManifold
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
2 venues tracked
0
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
–
–
Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score0/100
Canonical ID: 902f655f-0db0-47cf-8ee3-55a0a6267a57
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.