PolymarketPredictItManifoldManifold
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 venues tracked-0.1pp in 24h
13
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Gavin Newsom
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Manifold
Will Gavin Newsom be elected President in 2028?
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Manifold
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap13/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score13/100
Canonical ID: 90e4372f-c1f3-4f0e-a5ad-81a1b7a5e5af
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.