PolymarketManifoldKalshi
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 venues tracked+0.1pp in 24h
6
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AI Analysis
Get an AI-synthesized briefing combining venue probabilities, breaking news, and related market signals into a neutral analyst perspective.
Cross-Venue Intelligence
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
JD Vance wins 2028 Republican nomination?
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Kalshi
Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue6/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score6/100
Related Events
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Latest News Impact
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Canonical ID: 96ef9c27-cf21-42c9-8023-d311483b8184
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.