ManifoldPolymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
2 venues tracked
0
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?
–
–
Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score0/100
Canonical ID: 9b1b20f0-c987-4a33-99eb-36094d3a314e
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.