PolymarketKalshi
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
2 venues tracked
6
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Kalshi
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
30%
–
Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue6/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score6/100
Canonical ID: a75ac9eb-c015-4aef-80c2-b309dd2f25d8
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.