ForecastMind
PolymarketManifoldPredictIt

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

3 venues tracked-0.5pp in 24h
9
LowIntel Score

Live Venue Consensus

VenueYES %vs Poly

Polymarket

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

anchor

Manifold

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

PredictIt

Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — JD Vance

Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)

Signal Strength

Venue Gap8/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum1/15
Total Intel Score9/100

Canonical ID: aa296441-1bbd-4c8b-a8ce-bdf0194ee287

Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.

Methodology →
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Event Intelligence