Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1 venues tracked-1pp in 24h
2
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum2/15
Total Intel Score2/100
Canonical ID: b1b551dd-6fd0-4c9d-8a5b-3aa3efc4d645
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.