PolymarketManifold
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 venues tracked-0.1pp in 24h
0
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Will Tucker Carlson run for President between now and the 2036 election (inclusive)?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score0/100
Canonical ID: bc99cf09-a181-4523-b5d9-75f2f0f5ad9e
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.