PolymarketManifold
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
2 venues tracked
0
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score0/100
Canonical ID: f6f03bb1-c1ed-4efb-85bd-2f1a541eaac0
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.