Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
FM Estimate
3%Market Price
6%Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1124651