Markets/Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 11:47 AM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

9%YES

92%NO

Volume 24h

$875

Liquidity

$10K

Bid / Ask

6% / 10%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 9%99%

Buy YES@ 9¢

Edge

+5.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 92¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+5.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $875 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1138907

Go Deeper

⬡

Entity Hub

All related markets, signals, and news in one view.

◎

Forecaster Signals

See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.

⇄

Venue Divergence

Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.

Correlated Markets

Markets whose prices move with this one.