US x China Military clash before 2027?
7%YES
93%NO
Vol 24h$59
Liquidity$31K
Bid / Ask6% / 7%
Spread1.00pp
ClosesDec 31, 2026
FM Estimate
6%Market Price
7%Aligned
Historical patterns-1.0pp
Macro fundamentals+0.5pp
low confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US x China Military clash before 2027?" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $59 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-19). "US x China Military clash before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1179940