Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$51K
Liquidity
$12K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $51K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1228221
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Juan Pablo Velasco: 79%, Otto Ritter: 21%, Guido Eduardo Nayar: 0%.
Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatori
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this