Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?
Closes October 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$80K
Bid / Ask
4% / 4%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on October 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1235573
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+11.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this