Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?
94%YES
6%NO
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$32K
Bid / Ask93% / 94%
Spread1.00pp
ClosesNov 3, 2026
FM Estimate
91%Market Price
94%↑ Overpriced 2.7pp
Macro fundamentals-4.9pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?" at 94% YES / 6% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 94%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 94%, NO 6%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1281045