Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?
95%YES
5%NO
Vol 24h$8K
Liquidity$17K
Bid / Ask94% / 95%
Spread0.70pp
ClosesNov 3, 2026
FM Estimate
92%Market Price
95%↑ Overpriced 2.7pp
Macro fundamentals-5.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?" at 95% YES / 5% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 95%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 95%, NO 5%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1283185