Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?
6%YES
94%NO
Vol 24h$897
Liquidity$15K
Bid / Ask6% / 6%
Spread0.10pp
ClosesNov 3, 2026
FM Estimate
4%Market Price
6%↑ Overpriced 2.6pp
Macro fundamentals-4.8pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
No historical data yet
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $897 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1284274