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Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?

87%YES
13%NO
Vol 24h$841
Liquidity$13K
Bid / Ask86% / 88%
Spread2.00pp
ClosesNov 3, 2026

FM Estimate

84%

Market Price

87%
↑ Overpriced 2.7pp
Macro fundamentals-5.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. the Republican Party: 87%, the Republican Party: 80%, the Democratic Party: 76%.

Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?

87%
Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?
80%
Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?
76%
Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
71%
Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?
19%
Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?
18%
Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?
12%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?" at 87% YES / 13% NO. In the last 24 hours, $841 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 87%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 87%, NO 13%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1284815