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Will the Republican Party win the TX-11 House seat?

Closes November 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

93%YES
7%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$10K

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 93%99%
Buy YES@ 93¢

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EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 7¢

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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Republican Party win the TX-11 House seat?" at 93% YES / 7% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. The market closes on November 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Republican Party win the TX-11 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 93%, NO 7%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1284879