Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?
74%YES
26%NO
Vol 24h$168
Liquidity$19K
Bid / Ask73% / 74%
Spread1.00pp
ClosesNov 3, 2026
FM Estimate
71%Market Price
74%↑ Overpriced 2.7pp
Macro fundamentals-5.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?" at 74% YES / 26% NO. In the last 24 hours, $168 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 74%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 74%, NO 26%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1284967