Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$174
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
11% / 12%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $174 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1296002
This event has 8 active outcome markets. December be the best month for Bitcoin in 202: 17%, October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026: 16%, September be the best month for Bitcoin in 20: 12%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~18%.
September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
12% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
12% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this