Markets/StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?

StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Data as of Mar 29, 2026, 09:13 PM UTC

Closes January 1, 2027

Polymarket Price

16%YES

84%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

12% / 20%

Spread

8.00pp

Expert Signal

16%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

18% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Current

17% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 16%99%

Buy YES@ 16¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 84¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1299974

Go Deeper

⬡

Entity Hub

All related markets, signals, and news in one view.

◎

Forecaster Signals

See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.

⇄

Venue Divergence

Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.

Correlated Markets

Markets whose prices move with this one.