Markets/Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?

Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 08:39 AM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

88%YES

13%NO

Volume 24h

$475

Liquidity

$2K

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 88%99%

Buy YES@ 88¢

Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.0%

½ Kelly2.0%

Buy NO@ 13¢

-4.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?" at 88% YES / 12% NO. In the last 24 hours, $475 has been traded. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 88%, NO 12%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1302129

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