Markets/Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 06:32 PM UTC

Closes April 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

5%YES

95%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

4% / 6%

Spread

2.30pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

3% YES

Mar 1, 2026

Current

5% YES (-0.1pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 5%99%

Buy YES@ 5¢

Edge

+5.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%

½ Kelly0.1%

Buy NO@ 95¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+5.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 2.30 percentage points. The market closes on April 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1322978