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Markets/Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
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Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Closes March 31, 2027

Polymarket Price

5%YES
95%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$119K

Bid / Ask

5% / 5%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

5%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-0.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

4% YES

Mar 12, 2026

Current

4% YES (-0.1pp recent)

Mar 12, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 5%99%
Buy YES@ 5¢
Edge

+3.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.2%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO@ 95¢

-0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+3.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1357398