Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Closes November 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$168
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
4% / 4%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
2026
16 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Current
5% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-5.9%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $168 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on November 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1395708
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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